Bots manipulate public opinion in Russia-Ukraine conflict

A Ukraine street, featuring damage and debris from the Russia invasion.

A view of a store after the Russian bombing of the Ukraine city of Kharkiv on 15 March, 2022. Credit: KMimages.

Researchers from the 成人大片 have found bots have had a major online presence during the war between Russia and Ukraine.

The researchers analysed 5,203,764 tweets, retweets, quote tweets and replies posted to Twitter between 23 February 2022, and 8 March 2022, containing the hashtags
#(I)StandWithPutin, #(I)StandWithRussia, #(I)SupportRussia, #(I)StandWithUkraine, #(I)StandWithZelenskyy and #(I)SupportUkraine.

鈥淲e found that between 60 and 80 per cent of tweets using the hashtags we studied came from bot accounts during the first two weeks of the war,鈥 said co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, an MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the 成人大片鈥檚 School of Mathematical Sciences.

鈥淭his drove more angst in the online discourse and even impacted discussions surrounding people鈥檚 decision to flee or stay in Ukraine.

鈥淲e observed increases in words such as 鈥榮hame鈥, 鈥榯errorist鈥, 鈥榯hreat鈥, and 鈥榩anic鈥.

鈥淧ro-Russian human accounts were having the largest influence on discussions of the war 鈥 particularly on accounts which were pro-Ukraine.

鈥淭o our knowledge, this is the first body of published work which addresses online influence operations in the context of Russia鈥檚 invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

鈥淚n the past, wars have been primarily fought physically, with armies, air force and navy operations being the primary forms of combat.

鈥淗owever, social media has created a new environment where public opinion can be manipulated at a very large scale. As a result, these environments can be used to manipulate discussion, as well as cause disruption and overall public distrust.鈥

鈥淚n the past, wars have been primarily fought physically, with armies, air force and navy operations being the primary forms of combat. However, social media has created a new environment where public opinion can be manipulated at a very large scale."Co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the 成人大片鈥檚 School of Mathematical Sciences.


Fellow co-lead researcher, Bridget Smart, a Masters student in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, added: 鈥淥ur research identifies that this is happening during the Russia-Ukraine war and provides a statistical framework which quantifies the extent to which this is happening.

鈥淭his work extends and combines existing techniques to quantify how bots are influencing people in the online conversation around the Russia-Ukraine invasion.

鈥淚t opens up avenues for researchers to understand quantitatively how these malicious campaigns operate, and what makes them impactful. This research has identified that social media organisations may need to be better equipped for detecting and handling the use of bots on their networks.

鈥淚t has identified that governments may need to have stricter policies on social media organisations, and that social media can be a vital tool during conflict.鈥

The paper听迟颈迟濒别诲 has been published in arXiv and will be presented at The International Conference on Social Informatics in Glasgow from 19-21 October.

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